Jim VandeHei and Mike Allen have written an analysis of Clinton’s exaggerated take that she actually has a chance to win the Democratic nomination in the Story behind the story: The Clinton myth at Politico.com. As they put it:
“Unless Clinton is able to at least win the primary popular vote — which also would take nothing less than an electoral miracle — and use that achievement to pressure superdelegates, she has only one scenario for victory. An African-American opponent and his backers would be told that, even though he won the contest with voters, the prize is going to someone else.
People who think that scenario is even remotely likely are living on another planet.”
VandeHei and Allen’s piece is one of a recent string of essays making the case that Clinton’s candidacy is essentially over, or even more arguing that her continuing efforts do more harm to the Democrats chances in the November general election than they help her. Conservative commentator David Brooks’ opinion piece in the NY Times (free subscription may be required to view) is getting much exposure in the national media, including a Today show appearance this morning where he gets to repeat his favorite line from it, that Clinton “possesses the audacity of hopelessness”.
Maureen Dowd also has a piece up today touching on the same theme:
“Even some Clinton loyalists are wondering aloud if the win-at-all-costs strategy of Hillary and Bill — which continued Tuesday when Hillary tried to drag Rev. Wright back into the spotlight — is designed to rough up Obama so badly and leave the party so riven that Obama will lose in November to John McCain.”
The problem is that Clinton isn’t likely to bow out gracefully. It doesn’t appear to be in her nature to do so. As Peggy Noonan wrote in the WSJ back in February: “she does grace the way George W. Bush does nuance”. It would take a tremendous blow to get her to accept defeat and until then she’s going to keep going, taking continuous and damaging swipes at Obama and the Democrat’s chances of regaining the White House.
But this is a win-win for her. Clinton’s goal is not for the Democrats to win in November, her goal is that she win the presidency. And that can happen either this time around or the next. If she doesn’t do it this time, and her blows over the next several months weaken Obama so badly in the eyes of the voters that McCain wins, she can better make the case in 2012 that the voters made a mistake and she is the only electable choice. If Obama wins, she’s most likely unable to make another run at the top post until 2016 (when she’ll be close to 70). If she can’t win, she needs the Republicans to win.
The numerous talking heads have tried to coin a variety of terms to characterize her ongoing struggle, calling her the Terminator or describing her current strategy as the Nuclear option or better still the Tonya Harding option (realizing she can’t win she kneecaps her opponent). But these obscure the long-term strategic view Hillary Clinton always takes. She’s not just thinking of what she can do to harm Obama now in the short-term (although clearly this interests her). She’s not thinking about whether what she does now damages her political party or the country in general. She’s thinking about what Hillary can do for Hillary now or 4 years from now.
Politics
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